Will the United States Declare Freedom from COVID-19 Too Soon?

Lawrence Baker, Pedro Nascimento de Lima, Jeanne Ringel, Raffaele Vardavas
May 2021
Source Document

Abstract

We analyzed what could happen with COVID-19 deaths in the United States if restrictions all go away on July 4. Fully reopening the economy before Biden’s vaccination target was met doubled the average number of COVID-19 deaths between Independence Day and the end of the year.

Publication
The RAND Blog
COVID-19 Simulation Modeling Robust Decision Making
Pedro Nascimento de Lima
Pedro Nascimento de Lima

I’m a Ph.D. Candidate in Policy Analysis working at the intersection of Simulation Modeling (ABM, Systems Dynamics, Microsim), Policy Analysis and Decision Making Under Deep Uncertainty.

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