I am an assistant policy researcher at RAND Corporation, a Ph.D. candidate at Pardee RAND Graduate School, an Adjunct Instructor at USC Sol Price School of Public Policy, and a visiting graduate student at Argonne National Laboratory.
My recent research uses modeling to inform health policy. Most of my recent work focused on pressing COVID-19 policy questions. My work generated recommendations for crafting COVID-19 reopening plans, based on a stress-test of COVID-19 reopening strategies. I also helped build RAND’s COVID-19 Policy Tool, which became RAND’s most popular research of 2020. I am passionate about tackling complex and deeply uncertain policy questions with modeling and computing.
I also teach statistics at USC Sol Price School of Public Policy. Prior to coming to the US, I was a lecturer at UNISINOS, where I taught simulation modeling and other courses in engineering and management programs. Besides teaching and doing research, I enjoy working on consulting projects with a modeling component.
My recent research leverages modeling and Decision Under Deep Uncertainty methods to inform pressing health policy decision-analytic problems.
This essay discusses the need to account for behavioral adaptation in COVID-19 models.
We used the Robust Decision Making approach to stress-test California’s COVID-19 reopening strategy. This Perspective presents lessons learned from these experiments and outlines four characteristics of the best reopening strategies.
We analyzed what could happen with COVID-19 deaths in the United States if restrictions all go away on July 4. Fully reopening the economy before Biden’s vaccination target was met doubled the average number of COVID-19 deaths between Independence Day and the end of the year.
This paper uses the Robust Decision Making approach to stress-test California’s COVID-19 reopening strategy considering a range of uncertainties.
This paper documents our COVID-19 transmission model and explores the performance of periodic NPI strategies.
Here you will find links to past or upcoming presentations.
As an engineer by training, I like to build stuff. Here you will find links to tools and software I helped develop.
Before my PhD life, I used to write blog posts. You’ll still find some of those here.
Durante o meu tempo como como professor na UNISINOS no curso de Engenharia de Produção, acumulei uma boa quantidade de slides. Provavelmente não vou utilizar estes slides nos próximos 5 anos, portanto nada mais razoável do que compartilhar!
Teaching to seasoned managers in MBE classes is challenging. While it’s important to bring new thoughts and ideas and not sound repetitive, it is necessary to provide a theoretical basis for experienced people with diverse backgrounds.